84.00%Nonprofit Nexus: State of the Sector(Mean across every scored simulation below, not just the best one — blind, pre-publication data where available; current-registry replays are marked as such)
Same-scope blind calibration, published October 22, 2025. Public data was frozen before the report's publication date, then the model produced a blind ranking over the same geography. 21 of 21 report findings appeared in the model's output window (coverage), and the 84% figure is an NDCG-style ranking score rewarding findings placed near the top of the output — not a Pearson correlation coefficient and not a causal or impact claim.
The blind ranking, finding by finding
Every finding this report actually published, and where the model's own 21-candidate ranked output placed the gap it matched to — the same ranks the score above is computed from.
Transportation barriers limit service access across rural counties
→ matched: Transportation and Service Access: People Miss Help Because They Cannot Reliably Get There
Mental and behavioral health navigation capacity is insufficient
→ matched: Behavioral Health Navigation: Services Exist, Families Still Miss Care
Affordable housing and stabilization pathways are thin
→ matched: Affordable Housing Pipeline: Predevelopment and Community Trust Bottlenecks